Utvärdering av ändrade hastighetsgränser: långtidseffekter på trafiksäkerhet

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Urban Björketun

The Swedish Transport Administration has since 2008 undertaken to review speed limits on the national road network. The aim of this study is predominantly to describe and analyse the long-term traffic safety effect of increased, as well as, reduced speed limits. The evaluation is based on accident rates from the accident data base Strada (Swedish Traffic Accident Data Acquisition) combined with information on roads from National Road database, NVDB. The present study is a before and after study with control group where the change in accident and injury outcome on roads with new speed limits is compared with the corresponding change in the control group. Results show an extensive reduction in fatalities on rural roads with reduced speed limit from 90 to 80 km/h where the number of fatalities decreased by 14 per year, while no significant changes were seen for the seriously injured. On motorways with an increased speed limit to 120 km/h, the number of seriously injured increased by about 15 per year, but the number of deaths is in principle unchanged. The number of seriously injured increased on all types of motorways, but the worst development was seen for narrow motorways (21.5 m wide). For 2 + 1 roads with decreased speed limit from 110 to 100 km/h, the injury accidents decreased by about 10 per year and the seriously injured decreased by about 16 per year. On 2 + 1 roads with increased speed limit from 90 to 100 km/h, the number of injury accidents increased by about 19 per year. In conclusion, the results show that in total about 17 lives per year have been saved on the road network with changed speed limits. The number of seriously injured remain in principle unchanged.

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