Regionförstorande effekter av höghastighetståg: visualisering av SAMPERS-resultat

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Johan Håkansson
Gunnar Isacsson
Lena Wieweg

The purpose of this report is to cartographically visualize the potential increase in the geographical size of labor markets in those areas that would be affected by investments in tracks for high speed trains in Sweden. The VTI researchers have used forecasts on the number of work related trips by public transport that would result according to three different future scenarios. Two of them include investments in high speed rail but differ in terms of the exact location of where the tracks would be built. The third scenario is used as a reference and pertains to the option of not building any tracks for high speed trains. All forecasts are obtained from the national travel demand forecasting tool SAMPERS. This analysis suggests that the largest impact of high-speed rail is located in an area stretching between the metropolitan area of Gothenburg over the cities of Borås and Jönköping (in forecast region West) and then towards the area around the cities of Linköping and Norrköping (in forecast region Southeast). However, the forecasts indicate relatively small increases in labor market potentials, in general.

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