Prognosmodell för framtida resurs- och kompetensbehov inom järnvägsbranschen


According to the 2018–2029 National Plan for the Transport System, SEK 125 billion are to be set aside for the operation, maintenance and reinvestments of state railways during that period. This is an increase of about 40 percent compared with the corresponding plan for 2014–2025. Increased funding implies a greater volume of activities and indications have been received from players in the railway industry that all the resources and competences required to carry out planned railway, underground and tramway projects are not available. The Swedish Transport Administration therefore initiated a work process to produce a practical and useful forecast model that would predict the future resource and competence needs of the entire railway industry. Considering the complex structure of the railway industry, the wide variety of areas of activity and all the data (which was gathered manually for this project) needed for a forecast model, it transpired that the work task could not be completed within the framework of the project.

The purpose of the project and this report has therefore been limited to suggesting a structure for the forecast model and, by using examples of four types of project - replacement of switches, replacement of tracks, building of passing loops, and the extension of double tracks - showing how the demand for resources and competences can be forecast. No analysis has been made of the supply side, that is, the current availability of manpower, retirements and study programmes. The reason for this is because there are no statistics that can be readily used to specify these parameters specifically for all the occupational groups and areas of activity of the railway industry. Because of this, the drafted version of the forecast model cannot be linked to the supply side and therefore it cannot show which occupational groups are expected to have a surplus or deficit of resources and competences.



Lunch seminar in transport economics

Professor Stef Proost, KU Leuven presents "What Role for Electric Vehicles in Decarbonizing the Car Sector in the EU?"

European Road Profile User's Group, ERPUG

Welcome to the sixth ERPUG meeting in Vilnius, Lithuania. 

Vision Zero for Sustainable Road Safety in the Baltic Sea Region

The second Vision Zero for Sustainable Road Safety in the Baltic Sea Region conference will be held in Tallinn, Estonia. VTI is part of the programme committee. 



VTI in research programme Triple F (Fossil Free Freight)

VTI is part of the consortium that has been commissioned by the Swedish Transport Administration to conduct a research programme with focus on fossil-free freight transports. The programme, called Triple F, will run for 12 years. Part of the programme is...


Several actors collaborating on HCT vehicles

The increasing amount of freight, congestion on the roads and environmental emissions are problems that high capacity vehicles, HCT vehicles, can contribute to solving.


VTI’s simulators are being used for emergency vehicles

Better accessibility and shorter response times for emergency vehicles – this is something that standardised, directed, traffic messages, transmitted over the 5G network can contribute. Within the EU project Nordic Way 2, a functioning prototype of such a...


Modal shift - a way to achieve the environmental objectives

Shifting freight transports from road to rail and water can contribute to achieving the Swedish environmental and climate objectives by 2030. How this could be done is something that VTI researchers and researchers from Gothenburg University are investigating...


Report regarding government commission on the costs of traffic to society has been submitted

Since 2013, the Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI) has had several government commissions to produce documentation on the costs to society caused by traffic. On 1 November 2018, the agency reported its latest commission, Samkost 3....


International standardisation efforts have many advantages

VTI participates in several international standardisation committees. The work is important because it helps to ensure that standards can be adapted to Swedish conditions and it also provides access to valuable contacts and networks.