Prognosmodell för framtida resurs- och kompetensbehov inom järnvägsbranschen


According to the 2018–2029 National Plan for the Transport System, SEK 125 billion are to be set aside for the operation, maintenance and reinvestments of state railways during that period. This is an increase of about 40 percent compared with the corresponding plan for 2014–2025. Increased funding implies a greater volume of activities and indications have been received from players in the railway industry that all the resources and competences required to carry out planned railway, underground and tramway projects are not available. The Swedish Transport Administration therefore initiated a work process to produce a practical and useful forecast model that would predict the future resource and competence needs of the entire railway industry. Considering the complex structure of the railway industry, the wide variety of areas of activity and all the data (which was gathered manually for this project) needed for a forecast model, it transpired that the work task could not be completed within the framework of the project.

The purpose of the project and this report has therefore been limited to suggesting a structure for the forecast model and, by using examples of four types of project - replacement of switches, replacement of tracks, building of passing loops, and the extension of double tracks - showing how the demand for resources and competences can be forecast. No analysis has been made of the supply side, that is, the current availability of manpower, retirements and study programmes. The reason for this is because there are no statistics that can be readily used to specify these parameters specifically for all the occupational groups and areas of activity of the railway industry. Because of this, the drafted version of the forecast model cannot be linked to the supply side and therefore it cannot show which occupational groups are expected to have a surplus or deficit of resources and competences.



Social sustainability and just mobility

Welcome to a research workshop on Social sustainability and just mobility, 8–9 October 2019 in Linköping, Sweden

European Road Profile User's Group, ERPUG

Welcome to the sixth ERPUG meeting in Vilnius, Lithuania. 

Vision Zero for Sustainable Road Safety in the Baltic Sea Region

The second Vision Zero for Sustainable Road Safety in the Baltic Sea Region conference will be held in Tallinn, Estonia. VTI is part of the programme committee. 



Knowledge in the fight against microplastics from road traffic

The Government has commissioned VTI to develop and disseminate knowledge regarding the emission of microplastics from road traffic.


How to make autonomous vehicles coexist with other traffic

The road infrastructure must be prepared for self-driving vehicles – especially in the beginning when the concepts are still new. Researchers are contributing to this through CoEXist, an EU-funded research project in which VTI participates as the largest...


Electric roads: ‘Standardisation is an important factor for a future European transport system’

VTI employees recently arranged a workshop in Brussels on the standardisation of Electric Road Systems (ERS). ERS has become increasingly relevant as a possible method for reducing the transport sector's environmental impacts, especially in terms of climate...


Research on passenger and freight transport research

Shift2Rail is a European railway project that works actively to create innovations within the railway sector. IMPACT-2 is a project within Shift2Rail that follows and evaluates the innovation projects. How are the innovations coming along? Are they beneficial...


How vehicles can avoid accidents on newly paved roads

Friction is an important property for road safety. VTI has investigated how roads change in the first few weeks after surfacing work has been completed. Researchers recommend posting warning signs when the road is opened and waiting at least three weeks to...


VTI contributes to study on older drivers and accidents

On behalf of and in collaboration with the Swedish Transport Agency, VTI has carried out a study of older drivers and the link between illness and traffic accidents. The Transport Agency has now published the results.